California Golden Bears vs SMU Mustangs prediction and odds
Saturday, October 24 at 12:00 PM ET · Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, TX · CW
Also searched as SMU Mustangs vs California Golden Bears prediction, CAL vs SMU, SMU vs CAL and California Golden Bears versus SMU Mustangs.
Final: California Golden Bears 20, SMU Mustangs 59
Result: SMU Mustangs by 39, 79 points in total. The model had SMU Mustangs -16.5 and a total of 51.
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | SMU Mustangs -19.5 | SMU Mustangs -16.5 |
| Total | 53.5 | 51 |
| Moneyline | SMU -1200 / CAL +750 | SMU 85% to win |
Model lean: California Golden Bears +19.5 (57%), Under 53.5 (57%), California Golden Bears moneyline +750 (15%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
California Golden Bears (3-5) visited No. 23 SMU Mustangs (6-1) at Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, TX, Saturday, October 24 at 12:00 PM ET, on CW. The market has SMU Mustangs by 19.5, with a total of 53.5. Our model makes it SMU Mustangs -16.5 with a total of 51 and gives SMU Mustangs a 85% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
California Golden Bears vs SMU Mustangs: questions
- Who is favored in California Golden Bears vs SMU Mustangs?
- The market has SMU Mustangs by 19.5. On the moneyline, SMU Mustangs -1200 and California Golden Bears +750.
- What is the over/under for California Golden Bears vs SMU Mustangs?
- The total is 53.5. Our model makes it 51.
- What does the model predict for California Golden Bears vs SMU Mustangs?
- It leans California Golden Bears +19.5 (57%) and Under 53.5 (57%) and California Golden Bears moneyline +750 (15%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.