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NCAAFWeek 10

Cincinnati Bearcats vs Houston Cougars prediction and odds

Saturday, November 7 at 3:30 PM ET · TDECU Stadium, Houston, TX · Fox

Also searched as Houston Cougars vs Cincinnati Bearcats prediction, CIN vs HOU, HOU vs CIN and Cincinnati Bearcats versus Houston Cougars.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadHouston Cougars -11.5Houston Cougars -12.5
Total62.560.5
MoneylineHOU -440 / CIN +340HOU 78% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Houston Cougars -10.5, the total opened at 61.5.

Model lean: Houston Cougars -11.5 (52%), Under 62.5 (55%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Cincinnati Bearcats (5-3) visit No. 17 Houston Cougars (6-2) at TDECU Stadium, Houston, TX, Saturday, November 7 at 3:30 PM ET, on Fox. The market has Houston Cougars by 11.5, with a total of 62.5. The line opened Houston Cougars -10.5. Our model makes it Houston Cougars -12.5 with a total of 60.5 and gives Houston Cougars a 78% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Cincinnati Bearcats vs Houston Cougars: questions

Who is favored in Cincinnati Bearcats vs Houston Cougars?
The market has Houston Cougars by 11.5. On the moneyline, Houston Cougars -440 and Cincinnati Bearcats +340.
What is the over/under for Cincinnati Bearcats vs Houston Cougars?
The total is 62.5, after opening at 61.5. Our model makes it 60.5.
What does the model predict for Cincinnati Bearcats vs Houston Cougars?
It leans Houston Cougars -11.5 (52%) and Under 62.5 (55%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.