Who is favored in Duke Blue Devils vs NC State Wolfpack?

The market has Duke Blue Devils by 4.5. On the moneyline, NC State Wolfpack +164 and Duke Blue Devils -198.

What is the over/under for Duke Blue Devils vs NC State Wolfpack?

The total is 51.5, after opening at 49.5. Our model makes it 50.5.

What does the model predict for Duke Blue Devils vs NC State Wolfpack?

It leans Duke Blue Devils -4.5 (53%) and Under 51.5 (54%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

NCAAFWeek 10

Duke Blue Devils vs NC State Wolfpack prediction and odds

Saturday, November 7 at 12:30 PM ET · Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC · CW

Also searched as NC State Wolfpack vs Duke Blue Devils prediction, DUKE vs NCSU, NCSU vs DUKE and Duke Blue Devils versus NC State Wolfpack.

Market vs model

Line	Market	Model
Spread	NC State Wolfpack +4.5	NC State Wolfpack +5.5
Total	51.5	50.5
Moneyline	NCSU +164 / DUKE -198	NCSU 36% to win

Line movement: the spread opened NC State Wolfpack +5.5, the total opened at 49.5.

Model lean: Duke Blue Devils -4.5 (53%), Under 51.5 (54%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Duke Blue Devils (6-2) visit NC State Wolfpack (4-4) at Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC, Saturday, November 7 at 12:30 PM ET, on CW. The market has Duke Blue Devils by 4.5, with a total of 51.5. The line opened NC State Wolfpack +5.5. Our model makes it NC State Wolfpack +5.5 with a total of 50.5 and gives NC State Wolfpack a 36% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Duke Blue Devils vs NC State Wolfpack: questions

Who is favored in Duke Blue Devils vs NC State Wolfpack?: The market has Duke Blue Devils by 4.5. On the moneyline, NC State Wolfpack +164 and Duke Blue Devils -198.
What is the over/under for Duke Blue Devils vs NC State Wolfpack?: The total is 51.5, after opening at 49.5. Our model makes it 50.5.
What does the model predict for Duke Blue Devils vs NC State Wolfpack?: It leans Duke Blue Devils -4.5 (53%) and Under 51.5 (54%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.