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NCAAFWeek 8Final

Duke Blue Devils vs Virginia Cavaliers prediction and odds

Friday, October 23 at 7:00 PM ET · Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, VA · ESPN

Also searched as Virginia Cavaliers vs Duke Blue Devils prediction, DUKE vs UVA, UVA vs DUKE and Duke Blue Devils versus Virginia Cavaliers.

Final: Duke Blue Devils 19, Virginia Cavaliers 16

Result: Duke Blue Devils by 3, 35 points in total. The model had Virginia Cavaliers +1 and a total of 45.5.

Our play on this game

DUKE +2.5 -110won +1.36u

Staked at 1.5% of bankroll.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadVirginia Cavaliers -1.5Virginia Cavaliers +1
Total47.545.5
MoneylineUVA -122 / DUKE +102UVA 47% to win

Model lean: Duke Blue Devils +1.5 (57%), Under 47.5 (56%)

This game also had a play, shown above.

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Preview

Duke Blue Devils (5-2) visited Virginia Cavaliers (4-4) at Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, VA, Friday, October 23 at 7:00 PM ET, on ESPN. The market has Virginia Cavaliers by 1.5, with a total of 47.5. Our model makes it Virginia Cavaliers +1 with a total of 45.5 and gives Virginia Cavaliers a 47% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Duke Blue Devils vs Virginia Cavaliers: questions

Who is favored in Duke Blue Devils vs Virginia Cavaliers?
The market has Virginia Cavaliers by 1.5. On the moneyline, Virginia Cavaliers -122 and Duke Blue Devils +102.
What is the over/under for Duke Blue Devils vs Virginia Cavaliers?
The total is 47.5. Our model makes it 45.5.
What was Spreadhound's pick for Duke Blue Devils vs Virginia Cavaliers?
DUKE +2.5 -110, staked at 1.5% of bankroll. It won, +1.36 units.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.