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NCAAFWeek 8Final

East Carolina Pirates vs Memphis Tigers prediction and odds

Thursday, October 22 at 7:30 PM ET · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis, TN · ESPN2

Also searched as Memphis Tigers vs East Carolina Pirates prediction, ECU vs MEM, MEM vs ECU and East Carolina Pirates versus Memphis Tigers.

Final: East Carolina Pirates 34, Memphis Tigers 41

Result: Memphis Tigers by 7, 75 points in total. The model had Memphis Tigers -8 and a total of 54.5.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadMemphis Tigers -10.5Memphis Tigers -8
Total54.554.5
MoneylineMEM -410 / ECU +320MEM 69% to win

Model lean: East Carolina Pirates +10.5 (56%), East Carolina Pirates moneyline +320 (31%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

East Carolina Pirates (3-4) visited Memphis Tigers (6-2) at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis, TN, Thursday, October 22 at 7:30 PM ET, on ESPN2. The market has Memphis Tigers by 10.5, with a total of 54.5. Our model makes it Memphis Tigers -8 with a total of 54.5 and gives Memphis Tigers a 69% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

East Carolina Pirates vs Memphis Tigers: questions

Who is favored in East Carolina Pirates vs Memphis Tigers?
The market has Memphis Tigers by 10.5. On the moneyline, Memphis Tigers -410 and East Carolina Pirates +320.
What is the over/under for East Carolina Pirates vs Memphis Tigers?
The total is 54.5. Our model makes it 54.5.
What does the model predict for East Carolina Pirates vs Memphis Tigers?
It leans East Carolina Pirates +10.5 (56%) and East Carolina Pirates moneyline +320 (31%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.