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NCAAFWeek 10

Florida State Seminoles vs Boston College Eagles prediction and odds

Saturday, November 7 at 12:00 PM ET · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA), Chestnut Hill, MA · ACC Network

Also searched as Boston College Eagles vs Florida State Seminoles prediction, FSU vs BC, BC vs FSU and Florida State Seminoles versus Boston College Eagles.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadBoston College Eagles +7Boston College Eagles +5
Total51.550.5
MoneylineBC +220 / FSU -270BC 38% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Boston College Eagles +6.5.

Model lean: Boston College Eagles +7 (55%), Under 51.5 (53%), Boston College Eagles moneyline +220 (38%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Florida State Seminoles (3-5) visit Boston College Eagles (4-4) at Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA), Chestnut Hill, MA, Saturday, November 7 at 12:00 PM ET, on ACC Network. The market has Florida State Seminoles by 7, with a total of 51.5. The line opened Boston College Eagles +6.5. Our model makes it Boston College Eagles +5 with a total of 50.5 and gives Boston College Eagles a 38% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Florida State Seminoles vs Boston College Eagles: questions

Who is favored in Florida State Seminoles vs Boston College Eagles?
The market has Florida State Seminoles by 7. On the moneyline, Boston College Eagles +220 and Florida State Seminoles -270.
What is the over/under for Florida State Seminoles vs Boston College Eagles?
The total is 51.5. Our model makes it 50.5.
What does the model predict for Florida State Seminoles vs Boston College Eagles?
It leans Boston College Eagles +7 (55%) and Under 51.5 (53%) and Boston College Eagles moneyline +220 (38%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.