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NCAAFWeek 10

Fresno State Bulldogs vs Utah State Aggies prediction and odds

Saturday, November 7 at 9:30 PM ET · Maverik Stadium, Logan, UT · USA Net

Also searched as Utah State Aggies vs Fresno State Bulldogs prediction, FRES vs USU, USU vs FRES and Fresno State Bulldogs versus Utah State Aggies.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadUtah State Aggies +2.5Utah State Aggies +3
Total42.539.5
MoneylineUSU +114 / FRES -135USU 42% to win

Line movement: the total opened at 41.5.

Model lean: Fresno State Bulldogs -2.5 (52%), Under 42.5 (59%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Fresno State Bulldogs (5-3) visit Utah State Aggies (3-5) at Maverik Stadium, Logan, UT, Saturday, November 7 at 9:30 PM ET, on USA Net. The market has Fresno State Bulldogs by 2.5, with a total of 42.5. Our model makes it Utah State Aggies +3 with a total of 39.5 and gives Utah State Aggies a 42% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Fresno State Bulldogs vs Utah State Aggies: questions

Who is favored in Fresno State Bulldogs vs Utah State Aggies?
The market has Fresno State Bulldogs by 2.5. On the moneyline, Utah State Aggies +114 and Fresno State Bulldogs -135.
What is the over/under for Fresno State Bulldogs vs Utah State Aggies?
The total is 42.5, after opening at 41.5. Our model makes it 39.5.
What does the model predict for Fresno State Bulldogs vs Utah State Aggies?
It leans Fresno State Bulldogs -2.5 (52%) and Under 42.5 (59%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.