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NCAAFWeek 10

Georgia State Panthers vs App State Mountaineers prediction and odds

Saturday, November 7 at 2:30 PM ET · Kidd Brewer Stadium, Boone, NC · ESPN+

Also searched as App State Mountaineers vs Georgia State Panthers prediction, GAST vs APP, APP vs GAST and Georgia State Panthers versus App State Mountaineers.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadApp State Mountaineers -5.5App State Mountaineers -6
Total55.555
MoneylineAPP -198 / GAST +164APP 64% to win

Line movement: the spread opened App State Mountaineers -3.5, the total opened at 57.5.

No lean: the model sits close to the market

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Georgia State Panthers (4-4) visit App State Mountaineers (5-3) at Kidd Brewer Stadium, Boone, NC, Saturday, November 7 at 2:30 PM ET, on ESPN+. The market has App State Mountaineers by 5.5, with a total of 55.5. The line opened App State Mountaineers -3.5. Our model makes it App State Mountaineers -6 with a total of 55 and gives App State Mountaineers a 64% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Georgia State Panthers vs App State Mountaineers: questions

Who is favored in Georgia State Panthers vs App State Mountaineers?
The market has App State Mountaineers by 5.5. On the moneyline, App State Mountaineers -198 and Georgia State Panthers +164.
What is the over/under for Georgia State Panthers vs App State Mountaineers?
The total is 55.5, after opening at 57.5. Our model makes it 55.
What does the model predict for Georgia State Panthers vs App State Mountaineers?
It sits close to the market on this one, so it has no lean and no play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.