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NCAAFWeek 8Final

Georgia State Panthers vs Arkansas State Red Wolves prediction and odds

Saturday, October 24 at 7:00 PM ET · Centennial Bank Stadium, Jonesboro, AR · ESPN+

Also searched as Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Georgia State Panthers prediction, GAST vs ARST, ARST vs GAST and Georgia State Panthers versus Arkansas State Red Wolves.

Final: Georgia State Panthers 32, Arkansas State Red Wolves 38

Result: Arkansas State Red Wolves by 6, 70 points in total. The model had Arkansas State Red Wolves +4.5 and a total of 58.5.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadArkansas State Red Wolves +2.5Arkansas State Red Wolves +4.5
Total58.558.5
MoneylineARST +105 / GAST -125ARST 39% to win

Model lean: Georgia State Panthers -2.5 (55%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Georgia State Panthers (4-3) visited Arkansas State Red Wolves (4-4) at Centennial Bank Stadium, Jonesboro, AR, Saturday, October 24 at 7:00 PM ET, on ESPN+. The market has Georgia State Panthers by 2.5, with a total of 58.5. Our model makes it Arkansas State Red Wolves +4.5 with a total of 58.5 and gives Arkansas State Red Wolves a 39% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Georgia State Panthers vs Arkansas State Red Wolves: questions

Who is favored in Georgia State Panthers vs Arkansas State Red Wolves?
The market has Georgia State Panthers by 2.5. On the moneyline, Arkansas State Red Wolves +105 and Georgia State Panthers -125.
What is the over/under for Georgia State Panthers vs Arkansas State Red Wolves?
The total is 58.5. Our model makes it 58.5.
What does the model predict for Georgia State Panthers vs Arkansas State Red Wolves?
It leans Georgia State Panthers -2.5 (55%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.