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NCAAFWeek 9Final

Illinois Fighting Illini vs Maryland Terrapins prediction and odds

Saturday, October 31 at 12:00 PM ET · SECU Stadium, College Park, MD · FS1

Also searched as Maryland Terrapins vs Illinois Fighting Illini prediction, ILL vs MD, MD vs ILL and Illinois Fighting Illini versus Maryland Terrapins.

Final: Illinois Fighting Illini 20, Maryland Terrapins 17

Result: Illinois Fighting Illini by 3, 37 points in total. The model had Maryland Terrapins +3.5 and a total of 56.5.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadMaryland Terrapins +2.5Maryland Terrapins +3.5
Total54.556.5
MoneylineMD +120 / ILL -142MD 42% to win

Model lean: Illinois Fighting Illini -2.5 (52%), Over 54.5 (56%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Illinois Fighting Illini (5-3) visited Maryland Terrapins (2-6) at SECU Stadium, College Park, MD, Saturday, October 31 at 12:00 PM ET, on FS1. The market has Illinois Fighting Illini by 2.5, with a total of 54.5. Our model makes it Maryland Terrapins +3.5 with a total of 56.5 and gives Maryland Terrapins a 42% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Illinois Fighting Illini vs Maryland Terrapins: questions

Who is favored in Illinois Fighting Illini vs Maryland Terrapins?
The market has Illinois Fighting Illini by 2.5. On the moneyline, Maryland Terrapins +120 and Illinois Fighting Illini -142.
What is the over/under for Illinois Fighting Illini vs Maryland Terrapins?
The total is 54.5. Our model makes it 56.5.
What does the model predict for Illinois Fighting Illini vs Maryland Terrapins?
It leans Illinois Fighting Illini -2.5 (52%) and Over 54.5 (56%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.