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NCAAFWeek 10

Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears prediction and odds

Saturday, November 7 at 12:00 PM ET · McLane Stadium, Waco, TX

Also searched as Baylor Bears vs Iowa State Cyclones prediction, ISU vs BAY, BAY vs ISU and Iowa State Cyclones versus Baylor Bears.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadBaylor Bears -10Baylor Bears -10
Total50.549.5
MoneylineBAY -375 / ISU +295BAY 73% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Baylor Bears -9.5.

Model lean: Under 50.5 (53%), Iowa State Cyclones moneyline +295 (27%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Iowa State Cyclones (4-4) visit Baylor Bears (5-3) at McLane Stadium, Waco, TX, Saturday, November 7 at 12:00 PM ET. The market has Baylor Bears by 10, with a total of 50.5. The line opened Baylor Bears -9.5. Our model makes it Baylor Bears -10 with a total of 49.5 and gives Baylor Bears a 73% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears: questions

Who is favored in Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears?
The market has Baylor Bears by 10. On the moneyline, Baylor Bears -375 and Iowa State Cyclones +295.
What is the over/under for Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears?
The total is 50.5. Our model makes it 49.5.
What does the model predict for Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears?
It leans Under 50.5 (53%) and Iowa State Cyclones moneyline +295 (27%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.