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NCAAFWeek 9Final

Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs New Mexico State Aggies prediction and odds

Wednesday, October 28 at 8:00 PM ET · Aggie Memorial Stadium, Las Cruces, NM · ESPN2

Also searched as New Mexico State Aggies vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks prediction, JXST vs NMSU, NMSU vs JXST and Jacksonville State Gamecocks versus New Mexico State Aggies.

Final: Jacksonville State Gamecocks 24, New Mexico State Aggies 0

Result: Jacksonville State Gamecocks by 24, 24 points in total. The model had New Mexico State Aggies +1.5 and a total of 50.5.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadNew Mexico State Aggies +3.5New Mexico State Aggies +1.5
Total49.550.5
MoneylineNMSU +136 / JXST -162NMSU 46% to win

Model lean: New Mexico State Aggies +3.5 (55%), Over 49.5 (53%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Jacksonville State Gamecocks (6-2) visited New Mexico State Aggies (3-5) at Aggie Memorial Stadium, Las Cruces, NM, Wednesday, October 28 at 8:00 PM ET, on ESPN2. The market has Jacksonville State Gamecocks by 3.5, with a total of 49.5. Our model makes it New Mexico State Aggies +1.5 with a total of 50.5 and gives New Mexico State Aggies a 46% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs New Mexico State Aggies: questions

Who is favored in Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs New Mexico State Aggies?
The market has Jacksonville State Gamecocks by 3.5. On the moneyline, New Mexico State Aggies +136 and Jacksonville State Gamecocks -162.
What is the over/under for Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs New Mexico State Aggies?
The total is 49.5. Our model makes it 50.5.
What does the model predict for Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs New Mexico State Aggies?
It leans New Mexico State Aggies +3.5 (55%) and Over 49.5 (53%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.