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NCAAFWeek 8Final

Kansas State Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils prediction and odds

Saturday, October 24 at 3:45 PM ET · Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ · ESPN2

Also searched as Arizona State Sun Devils vs Kansas State Wildcats prediction, KSU vs ASU, ASU vs KSU and Kansas State Wildcats versus Arizona State Sun Devils.

Final: Kansas State Wildcats 17, Arizona State Sun Devils 28

Result: Arizona State Sun Devils by 11, 45 points in total. The model had Arizona State Sun Devils +5 and a total of 58.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadArizona State Sun Devils +3.5Arizona State Sun Devils +5
Total56.558
MoneylineASU +140 / KSU -166ASU 37% to win

Model lean: Kansas State Wildcats -3.5 (54%), Over 56.5 (55%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Kansas State Wildcats (4-3) visited Arizona State Sun Devils (4-3) at Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ, Saturday, October 24 at 3:45 PM ET, on ESPN2. The market has Kansas State Wildcats by 3.5, with a total of 56.5. Our model makes it Arizona State Sun Devils +5 with a total of 58 and gives Arizona State Sun Devils a 37% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Kansas State Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils: questions

Who is favored in Kansas State Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils?
The market has Kansas State Wildcats by 3.5. On the moneyline, Arizona State Sun Devils +140 and Kansas State Wildcats -166.
What is the over/under for Kansas State Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils?
The total is 56.5. Our model makes it 58.
What does the model predict for Kansas State Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils?
It leans Kansas State Wildcats -3.5 (54%) and Over 56.5 (55%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.