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NCAAFWeek 9Final

Kennesaw State Owls vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders prediction and odds

Wednesday, October 28 at 7:00 PM ET · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, TN · CBSSN

Also searched as Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Kennesaw State Owls prediction, KENN vs MTSU, MTSU vs KENN and Kennesaw State Owls versus Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders.

Final: Kennesaw State Owls 44, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 28

Result: Kennesaw State Owls by 16, 72 points in total. The model had Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -3.5 and a total of 48.5.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders -2.5Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -3.5
Total51.548.5
MoneylineMTSU -142 / KENN +120MTSU 58% to win

Model lean: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -2.5 (52%), Under 51.5 (59%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Kennesaw State Owls (2-6) visited Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (4-4) at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, TN, Wednesday, October 28 at 7:00 PM ET, on CBSSN. The market has Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders by 2.5, with a total of 51.5. Our model makes it Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -3.5 with a total of 48.5 and gives Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders a 58% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Kennesaw State Owls vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: questions

Who is favored in Kennesaw State Owls vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders?
The market has Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders by 2.5. On the moneyline, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -142 and Kennesaw State Owls +120.
What is the over/under for Kennesaw State Owls vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders?
The total is 51.5. Our model makes it 48.5.
What does the model predict for Kennesaw State Owls vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders?
It leans Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -2.5 (52%) and Under 51.5 (59%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.