Liberty Flames vs New Mexico State Aggies prediction and odds
Saturday, November 7 at 8:00 PM ET · Aggie Memorial Stadium, Las Cruces, NM · ESPNU
Also searched as New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames prediction, LIB vs NMSU, NMSU vs LIB and Liberty Flames versus New Mexico State Aggies.
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | New Mexico State Aggies +16.5 | New Mexico State Aggies +18 |
| Total | 45.5 | 44.5 |
| Moneyline | NMSU +600 / LIB -900 | NMSU 13% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened New Mexico State Aggies +12.5, the total opened at 47.5.
Model lean: Liberty Flames -16.5 (54%), Under 45.5 (52%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
Liberty Flames (7-1) visit New Mexico State Aggies (3-5) at Aggie Memorial Stadium, Las Cruces, NM, Saturday, November 7 at 8:00 PM ET, on ESPNU. The market has Liberty Flames by 16.5, with a total of 45.5. The line opened New Mexico State Aggies +12.5. Our model makes it New Mexico State Aggies +18 with a total of 44.5 and gives New Mexico State Aggies a 13% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Liberty Flames vs New Mexico State Aggies: questions
- Who is favored in Liberty Flames vs New Mexico State Aggies?
- The market has Liberty Flames by 16.5. On the moneyline, New Mexico State Aggies +600 and Liberty Flames -900.
- What is the over/under for Liberty Flames vs New Mexico State Aggies?
- The total is 45.5, after opening at 47.5. Our model makes it 44.5.
- What does the model predict for Liberty Flames vs New Mexico State Aggies?
- It leans Liberty Flames -16.5 (54%) and Under 45.5 (52%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.