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NCAAFWeek 9Final

Miami Hurricanes vs North Carolina Tar Heels prediction and odds

Saturday, October 31 at 7:30 PM ET · Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC · ABC

Also searched as North Carolina Tar Heels vs Miami Hurricanes prediction, MIA vs UNC, UNC vs MIA and Miami Hurricanes versus North Carolina Tar Heels.

Final: Miami Hurricanes 38, North Carolina Tar Heels 35

Result: Miami Hurricanes by 3, 73 points in total. The model had North Carolina Tar Heels +16 and a total of 54.5.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadNorth Carolina Tar Heels +14.5North Carolina Tar Heels +16
Total52.554.5
MoneylineUNC +490 / MIA -675UNC 16% to win

Model lean: Miami Hurricanes -14.5 (54%), Over 52.5 (56%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

No. 1 Miami Hurricanes (8-0) visited North Carolina Tar Heels (4-4) at Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC, Saturday, October 31 at 7:30 PM ET, on ABC. The market has Miami Hurricanes by 14.5, with a total of 52.5. Our model makes it North Carolina Tar Heels +16 with a total of 54.5 and gives North Carolina Tar Heels a 16% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Miami Hurricanes vs North Carolina Tar Heels: questions

Who is favored in Miami Hurricanes vs North Carolina Tar Heels?
The market has Miami Hurricanes by 14.5. On the moneyline, North Carolina Tar Heels +490 and Miami Hurricanes -675.
What is the over/under for Miami Hurricanes vs North Carolina Tar Heels?
The total is 52.5. Our model makes it 54.5.
What does the model predict for Miami Hurricanes vs North Carolina Tar Heels?
It leans Miami Hurricanes -14.5 (54%) and Over 52.5 (56%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.