Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines prediction and odds
Saturday, November 7 at 7:30 PM ET · Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI · Peacock
Also searched as Michigan Wolverines vs Michigan State Spartans prediction, MSU vs MICH, MICH vs MSU and Michigan State Spartans versus Michigan Wolverines.
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Michigan Wolverines -13.5 | Michigan Wolverines -11.5 |
| Total | 39.5 | 38 |
| Moneyline | MICH -550 / MSU +410 | MICH 76% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened Michigan Wolverines -18.5, the total opened at 50.5.
Model lean: Michigan State Spartans +13.5 (55%), Under 39.5 (55%), Michigan State Spartans moneyline +410 (24%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
Michigan State Spartans (2-6) visit Michigan Wolverines (5-3) at Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI, Saturday, November 7 at 7:30 PM ET, on Peacock. The market has Michigan Wolverines by 13.5, with a total of 39.5. The line opened Michigan Wolverines -18.5. Our model makes it Michigan Wolverines -11.5 with a total of 38 and gives Michigan Wolverines a 76% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines: questions
- Who is favored in Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines?
- The market has Michigan Wolverines by 13.5. On the moneyline, Michigan Wolverines -550 and Michigan State Spartans +410.
- What is the over/under for Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines?
- The total is 39.5, after opening at 50.5. Our model makes it 38.
- What does the model predict for Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines?
- It leans Michigan State Spartans +13.5 (55%) and Under 39.5 (55%) and Michigan State Spartans moneyline +410 (24%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.