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NCAAFWeek 8Final

Michigan State Spartans vs UCLA Bruins prediction and odds

Saturday, October 24 at 3:30 PM ET · Rose Bowl, Pasadena, CA · CBS

Also searched as UCLA Bruins vs Michigan State Spartans prediction, MSU vs UCLA, UCLA vs MSU and Michigan State Spartans versus UCLA Bruins.

Final: Michigan State Spartans 10, UCLA Bruins 28

Result: UCLA Bruins by 18, 38 points in total. The model had UCLA Bruins -17 and a total of 45.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadUCLA Bruins -14UCLA Bruins -17
Total44.545
MoneylineUCLA -625 / MSU +455UCLA 85% to win

Model lean: UCLA Bruins -14 (57%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Michigan State Spartans (2-6) visited No. 9 UCLA Bruins (7-0) at Rose Bowl, Pasadena, CA, Saturday, October 24 at 3:30 PM ET, on CBS. The market has UCLA Bruins by 14, with a total of 44.5. Our model makes it UCLA Bruins -17 with a total of 45 and gives UCLA Bruins a 85% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Michigan State Spartans vs UCLA Bruins: questions

Who is favored in Michigan State Spartans vs UCLA Bruins?
The market has UCLA Bruins by 14. On the moneyline, UCLA Bruins -625 and Michigan State Spartans +455.
What is the over/under for Michigan State Spartans vs UCLA Bruins?
The total is 44.5. Our model makes it 45.
What does the model predict for Michigan State Spartans vs UCLA Bruins?
It leans UCLA Bruins -14 (57%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.