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NCAAFWeek 9Final

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns prediction and odds

Saturday, October 31 at 7:30 PM ET · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX · ESPN

Also searched as Texas Longhorns vs Mississippi State Bulldogs prediction, MSST vs TEX, TEX vs MSST and Mississippi State Bulldogs versus Texas Longhorns.

Final: Mississippi State Bulldogs 3, Texas Longhorns 31

Result: Texas Longhorns by 28, 34 points in total. The model had Texas Longhorns -18 and a total of 51.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadTexas Longhorns -21Texas Longhorns -18
Total50.551
MoneylineTEX -1450 / MSST +850TEX 87% to win

Model lean: Mississippi State Bulldogs +21 (57%), Mississippi State Bulldogs moneyline +850 (13%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-4) visited No. 11 Texas Longhorns (6-2) at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX, Saturday, October 31 at 7:30 PM ET, on ESPN. The market has Texas Longhorns by 21, with a total of 50.5. Our model makes it Texas Longhorns -18 with a total of 51 and gives Texas Longhorns a 87% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns: questions

Who is favored in Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns?
The market has Texas Longhorns by 21. On the moneyline, Texas Longhorns -1450 and Mississippi State Bulldogs +850.
What is the over/under for Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns?
The total is 50.5. Our model makes it 51.
What does the model predict for Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns?
It leans Mississippi State Bulldogs +21 (57%) and Mississippi State Bulldogs moneyline +850 (13%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.