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NCAAFWeek 9Final

Missouri Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks prediction and odds

Saturday, October 31 at 7:45 PM ET · Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR · SEC Network

Also searched as Arkansas Razorbacks vs Missouri Tigers prediction, MIZ vs ARK, ARK vs MIZ and Missouri Tigers versus Arkansas Razorbacks.

Final: Missouri Tigers 34, Arkansas Razorbacks 10

Result: Missouri Tigers by 24, 44 points in total. The model had Arkansas Razorbacks +10 and a total of 48.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadArkansas Razorbacks +10Arkansas Razorbacks +10
Total49.548
MoneylineARK +300 / MIZ -380ARK 27% to win

Model lean: Under 49.5 (55%), Arkansas Razorbacks moneyline +300 (27%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

No. 23 Missouri Tigers (6-2) visited Arkansas Razorbacks (3-5) at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR, Saturday, October 31 at 7:45 PM ET, on SEC Network. The market has Missouri Tigers by 10, with a total of 49.5. Our model makes it Arkansas Razorbacks +10 with a total of 48 and gives Arkansas Razorbacks a 27% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Missouri Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks: questions

Who is favored in Missouri Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks?
The market has Missouri Tigers by 10. On the moneyline, Arkansas Razorbacks +300 and Missouri Tigers -380.
What is the over/under for Missouri Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks?
The total is 49.5. Our model makes it 48.
What does the model predict for Missouri Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks?
It leans Under 49.5 (55%) and Arkansas Razorbacks moneyline +300 (27%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.