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NCAAFWeek 8Final

NC State Wolfpack vs Stanford Cardinal prediction and odds

Friday, October 23 at 10:30 PM ET · Stanford Stadium, Stanford, CA · ESPN

Also searched as Stanford Cardinal vs NC State Wolfpack prediction, NCSU vs STAN, STAN vs NCSU and NC State Wolfpack versus Stanford Cardinal.

Final: NC State Wolfpack 28, Stanford Cardinal 31

Result: Stanford Cardinal by 3, 59 points in total. The model had Stanford Cardinal +5 and a total of 56.5.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadStanford Cardinal +7Stanford Cardinal +5
Total55.556.5
MoneylineSTAN +225 / NCSU -278STAN 38% to win

Model lean: Stanford Cardinal +7 (55%), Over 55.5 (54%), Stanford Cardinal moneyline +225 (38%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

NC State Wolfpack (3-4) visited Stanford Cardinal (4-4) at Stanford Stadium, Stanford, CA, Friday, October 23 at 10:30 PM ET, on ESPN. The market has NC State Wolfpack by 7, with a total of 55.5. Our model makes it Stanford Cardinal +5 with a total of 56.5 and gives Stanford Cardinal a 38% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

NC State Wolfpack vs Stanford Cardinal: questions

Who is favored in NC State Wolfpack vs Stanford Cardinal?
The market has NC State Wolfpack by 7. On the moneyline, Stanford Cardinal +225 and NC State Wolfpack -278.
What is the over/under for NC State Wolfpack vs Stanford Cardinal?
The total is 55.5. Our model makes it 56.5.
What does the model predict for NC State Wolfpack vs Stanford Cardinal?
It leans Stanford Cardinal +7 (55%) and Over 55.5 (54%) and Stanford Cardinal moneyline +225 (38%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.