Who is favored in New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack?

The market has New Mexico Lobos by 9.5. On the moneyline, Nevada Wolf Pack +310 and New Mexico Lobos -395.

What is the over/under for New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack?

The total is 38.5, after opening at 43.5. Our model makes it 41.5.

What does the model predict for New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack?

It leans Over 38.5 (60%) and Nevada Wolf Pack moneyline +310 (28%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

NCAAFWeek 10

New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack prediction and odds

Friday, November 6 at 9:00 PM ET · Mackay Stadium, Reno, NV · CBSSN

Also searched as Nevada Wolf Pack vs New Mexico Lobos prediction, UNM vs NEV, NEV vs UNM and New Mexico Lobos versus Nevada Wolf Pack.

Market vs model

Line	Market	Model
Spread	Nevada Wolf Pack +9.5	Nevada Wolf Pack +9.5
Total	38.5	41.5
Moneyline	NEV +310 / UNM -395	NEV 28% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Nevada Wolf Pack +12.5, the total opened at 43.5.

Model lean: Over 38.5 (60%), Nevada Wolf Pack moneyline +310 (28%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

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Preview

No. 22 New Mexico Lobos (7-1) visit Nevada Wolf Pack (3-5) at Mackay Stadium, Reno, NV, Friday, November 6 at 9:00 PM ET, on CBSSN. The market has New Mexico Lobos by 9.5, with a total of 38.5. The line opened Nevada Wolf Pack +12.5. Our model makes it Nevada Wolf Pack +9.5 with a total of 41.5 and gives Nevada Wolf Pack a 28% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack: questions

Who is favored in New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack?: The market has New Mexico Lobos by 9.5. On the moneyline, Nevada Wolf Pack +310 and New Mexico Lobos -395.
What is the over/under for New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack?: The total is 38.5, after opening at 43.5. Our model makes it 41.5.
What does the model predict for New Mexico Lobos vs Nevada Wolf Pack?: It leans Over 38.5 (60%) and Nevada Wolf Pack moneyline +310 (28%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.