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NCAAFWeek 9Final

New Mexico Lobos vs San José State Spartans prediction and odds

Saturday, October 31 at 4:00 PM ET · CEFCU Stadium, San Jose, CA · MW+

Also searched as San José State Spartans vs New Mexico Lobos prediction, UNM vs SJSU, SJSU vs UNM and New Mexico Lobos versus San José State Spartans.

Final: New Mexico Lobos 21, San José State Spartans 16

Result: New Mexico Lobos by 5, 37 points in total. The model had San José State Spartans +14.5 and a total of 42.5.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadSan José State Spartans +14.5San José State Spartans +14.5
Total41.542.5
MoneylineSJSU +490 / UNM -675SJSU 18% to win

Model lean: Over 41.5 (54%), San José State Spartans moneyline +490 (18%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

New Mexico Lobos (7-1) visited San José State Spartans (4-5) at CEFCU Stadium, San Jose, CA, Saturday, October 31 at 4:00 PM ET, on MW+. The market has New Mexico Lobos by 14.5, with a total of 41.5. Our model makes it San José State Spartans +14.5 with a total of 42.5 and gives San José State Spartans a 18% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

New Mexico Lobos vs San José State Spartans: questions

Who is favored in New Mexico Lobos vs San José State Spartans?
The market has New Mexico Lobos by 14.5. On the moneyline, San José State Spartans +490 and New Mexico Lobos -675.
What is the over/under for New Mexico Lobos vs San José State Spartans?
The total is 41.5. Our model makes it 42.5.
What does the model predict for New Mexico Lobos vs San José State Spartans?
It leans Over 41.5 (54%) and San José State Spartans moneyline +490 (18%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.