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NCAAFWeek 10

North Carolina Tar Heels vs UConn Huskies prediction and odds

Saturday, November 7 at 12:00 PM ET · Pratt & Whitney Stadium, East Hartford, CT · CBSSN

Also searched as UConn Huskies vs North Carolina Tar Heels prediction, UNC vs CONN, CONN vs UNC and North Carolina Tar Heels versus UConn Huskies.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadUConn Huskies +7UConn Huskies +9.5
Total54.554.5
MoneylineCONN +220 / UNC -270CONN 28% to win

Line movement: the spread opened UConn Huskies +8.5, the total opened at 51.5.

Model lean: North Carolina Tar Heels -7 (56%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

North Carolina Tar Heels (4-4) visit UConn Huskies (4-4) at Pratt & Whitney Stadium, East Hartford, CT, Saturday, November 7 at 12:00 PM ET, on CBSSN. The market has North Carolina Tar Heels by 7, with a total of 54.5. The line opened UConn Huskies +8.5. Our model makes it UConn Huskies +9.5 with a total of 54.5 and gives UConn Huskies a 28% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

North Carolina Tar Heels vs UConn Huskies: questions

Who is favored in North Carolina Tar Heels vs UConn Huskies?
The market has North Carolina Tar Heels by 7. On the moneyline, UConn Huskies +220 and North Carolina Tar Heels -270.
What is the over/under for North Carolina Tar Heels vs UConn Huskies?
The total is 54.5, after opening at 51.5. Our model makes it 54.5.
What does the model predict for North Carolina Tar Heels vs UConn Huskies?
It leans North Carolina Tar Heels -7 (56%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.