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NCAAFWeek 8Final

Oklahoma Sooners vs Mississippi State Bulldogs prediction and odds

Saturday, October 24 at 3:30 PM ET · Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS · SEC Network

Also searched as Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Oklahoma Sooners prediction, OU vs MSST, MSST vs OU and Oklahoma Sooners versus Mississippi State Bulldogs.

Final: Oklahoma Sooners 23, Mississippi State Bulldogs 15

Result: Oklahoma Sooners by 8, 38 points in total. The model had Mississippi State Bulldogs +1.5 and a total of 46.5.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadMississippi State Bulldogs +4Mississippi State Bulldogs +1.5
Total44.546.5
MoneylineMSST +154 / OU -185MSST 47% to win

Model lean: Mississippi State Bulldogs +4 (56%), Over 44.5 (56%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Oklahoma Sooners (4-3) visited Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-3) at Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS, Saturday, October 24 at 3:30 PM ET, on SEC Network. The market has Oklahoma Sooners by 4, with a total of 44.5. Our model makes it Mississippi State Bulldogs +1.5 with a total of 46.5 and gives Mississippi State Bulldogs a 47% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Oklahoma Sooners vs Mississippi State Bulldogs: questions

Who is favored in Oklahoma Sooners vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?
The market has Oklahoma Sooners by 4. On the moneyline, Mississippi State Bulldogs +154 and Oklahoma Sooners -185.
What is the over/under for Oklahoma Sooners vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?
The total is 44.5. Our model makes it 46.5.
What does the model predict for Oklahoma Sooners vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?
It leans Mississippi State Bulldogs +4 (56%) and Over 44.5 (56%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.