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NCAAFWeek 8Final

Oregon Ducks vs Illinois Fighting Illini prediction and odds

Saturday, October 24 at 3:00 PM ET · Gies Memorial Stadium, Champaign, IL · BTN

Also searched as Illinois Fighting Illini vs Oregon Ducks prediction, ORE vs ILL, ILL vs ORE and Oregon Ducks versus Illinois Fighting Illini.

Final: Oregon Ducks 10, Illinois Fighting Illini 21

Result: Illinois Fighting Illini by 11, 31 points in total. The model had Illinois Fighting Illini +11 and a total of 54.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadIllinois Fighting Illini +8.5Illinois Fighting Illini +11
Total50.554
MoneylineILL +285 / ORE -360ILL 25% to win

Model lean: Oregon Ducks -8.5 (56%), Over 50.5 (60%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Oregon Ducks (4-3) visited Illinois Fighting Illini (4-3) at Gies Memorial Stadium, Champaign, IL, Saturday, October 24 at 3:00 PM ET, on BTN. The market has Oregon Ducks by 8.5, with a total of 50.5. Our model makes it Illinois Fighting Illini +11 with a total of 54 and gives Illinois Fighting Illini a 25% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Oregon Ducks vs Illinois Fighting Illini: questions

Who is favored in Oregon Ducks vs Illinois Fighting Illini?
The market has Oregon Ducks by 8.5. On the moneyline, Illinois Fighting Illini +285 and Oregon Ducks -360.
What is the over/under for Oregon Ducks vs Illinois Fighting Illini?
The total is 50.5. Our model makes it 54.
What does the model predict for Oregon Ducks vs Illinois Fighting Illini?
It leans Oregon Ducks -8.5 (56%) and Over 50.5 (60%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.