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NCAAFWeek 9Final

Oregon State Beavers vs Fresno State Bulldogs prediction and odds

Saturday, October 31 at 11:00 PM ET · Valley Children's Stadium, Fresno, CA · USA Net

Also searched as Fresno State Bulldogs vs Oregon State Beavers prediction, ORST vs FRES, FRES vs ORST and Oregon State Beavers versus Fresno State Bulldogs.

Final: Oregon State Beavers 22, Fresno State Bulldogs 38

Result: Fresno State Bulldogs by 16, 60 points in total. The model had Fresno State Bulldogs +4 and a total of 57.5.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadFresno State Bulldogs +5.5Fresno State Bulldogs +4
Total58.557.5
MoneylineFRES +185 / ORST -225FRES 41% to win

Model lean: Fresno State Bulldogs +5.5 (54%), Under 58.5 (53%), Fresno State Bulldogs moneyline +185 (41%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Oregon State Beavers (5-3) visited Fresno State Bulldogs (5-3) at Valley Children's Stadium, Fresno, CA, Saturday, October 31 at 11:00 PM ET, on USA Net. The market has Oregon State Beavers by 5.5, with a total of 58.5. Our model makes it Fresno State Bulldogs +4 with a total of 57.5 and gives Fresno State Bulldogs a 41% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Oregon State Beavers vs Fresno State Bulldogs: questions

Who is favored in Oregon State Beavers vs Fresno State Bulldogs?
The market has Oregon State Beavers by 5.5. On the moneyline, Fresno State Bulldogs +185 and Oregon State Beavers -225.
What is the over/under for Oregon State Beavers vs Fresno State Bulldogs?
The total is 58.5. Our model makes it 57.5.
What does the model predict for Oregon State Beavers vs Fresno State Bulldogs?
It leans Fresno State Bulldogs +5.5 (54%) and Under 58.5 (53%) and Fresno State Bulldogs moneyline +185 (41%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.