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NCAAFWeek 10

Rice Owls vs North Texas Mean Green prediction and odds

Saturday, November 7 at 4:00 PM ET · DATCU Stadium, Denton, TX · ESPNU

Also searched as North Texas Mean Green vs Rice Owls prediction, RICE vs UNT, UNT vs RICE and Rice Owls versus North Texas Mean Green.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadNorth Texas Mean Green -16.5North Texas Mean Green -15
Total64.566
MoneylineUNT -900 / RICE +600UNT 82% to win

Model lean: Rice Owls +16.5 (54%), Over 64.5 (54%), Rice Owls moneyline +600 (18%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Rice Owls (1-7) visit North Texas Mean Green (6-2) at DATCU Stadium, Denton, TX, Saturday, November 7 at 4:00 PM ET, on ESPNU. The market has North Texas Mean Green by 16.5, with a total of 64.5. Our model makes it North Texas Mean Green -15 with a total of 66 and gives North Texas Mean Green a 82% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Rice Owls vs North Texas Mean Green: questions

Who is favored in Rice Owls vs North Texas Mean Green?
The market has North Texas Mean Green by 16.5. On the moneyline, North Texas Mean Green -900 and Rice Owls +600.
What is the over/under for Rice Owls vs North Texas Mean Green?
The total is 64.5. Our model makes it 66.
What does the model predict for Rice Owls vs North Texas Mean Green?
It leans Rice Owls +16.5 (54%) and Over 64.5 (54%) and Rice Owls moneyline +600 (18%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.