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NCAAFWeek 8Final

Sacramento State Hornets vs Ball State Cardinals prediction and odds

Saturday, October 24 at 3:30 PM ET · Scheumann Stadium, Muncie, IN · ESPN+

Also searched as Ball State Cardinals vs Sacramento State Hornets prediction, SAC vs BALL, BALL vs SAC and Sacramento State Hornets versus Ball State Cardinals.

Final: Sacramento State Hornets 17, Ball State Cardinals 34

Result: Ball State Cardinals by 17, 51 points in total. The model had Ball State Cardinals -14 and a total of 53.5.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadBall State Cardinals -14.5Ball State Cardinals -14
Total51.553.5
MoneylineBALL -575 / SAC +425BALL 80% to win

Model lean: Sacramento State Hornets +14.5 (52%), Over 51.5 (56%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Sacramento State Hornets (1-7) visited Ball State Cardinals (3-5) at Scheumann Stadium, Muncie, IN, Saturday, October 24 at 3:30 PM ET, on ESPN+. The market has Ball State Cardinals by 14.5, with a total of 51.5. Our model makes it Ball State Cardinals -14 with a total of 53.5 and gives Ball State Cardinals a 80% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Sacramento State Hornets vs Ball State Cardinals: questions

Who is favored in Sacramento State Hornets vs Ball State Cardinals?
The market has Ball State Cardinals by 14.5. On the moneyline, Ball State Cardinals -575 and Sacramento State Hornets +425.
What is the over/under for Sacramento State Hornets vs Ball State Cardinals?
The total is 51.5. Our model makes it 53.5.
What does the model predict for Sacramento State Hornets vs Ball State Cardinals?
It leans Sacramento State Hornets +14.5 (52%) and Over 51.5 (56%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.