Skip to content
NCAAFWeek 9Final

Sam Houston Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears prediction and odds

Tuesday, October 27 at 8:00 PM ET · Robert W. Plaster Stadium, Springfield, MO · ESPN2

Also searched as Missouri State Bears vs Sam Houston Bearkats prediction, SHSU vs MOST, MOST vs SHSU and Sam Houston Bearkats versus Missouri State Bears.

Final: Sam Houston Bearkats 3, Missouri State Bears 24

Result: Missouri State Bears by 21, 27 points in total. The model had Missouri State Bears -2 and a total of 51.5.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadMissouri State Bears -4.5Missouri State Bears -2
Total50.551.5
MoneylineMOST -218 / SHSU +180MOST 55% to win

Model lean: Sam Houston Bearkats +4.5 (56%), Over 50.5 (53%), Sam Houston Bearkats moneyline +180 (45%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Sam Houston Bearkats (1-7) visited Missouri State Bears (3-5) at Robert W. Plaster Stadium, Springfield, MO, Tuesday, October 27 at 8:00 PM ET, on ESPN2. The market has Missouri State Bears by 4.5, with a total of 50.5. Our model makes it Missouri State Bears -2 with a total of 51.5 and gives Missouri State Bears a 55% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Sam Houston Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears: questions

Who is favored in Sam Houston Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears?
The market has Missouri State Bears by 4.5. On the moneyline, Missouri State Bears -218 and Sam Houston Bearkats +180.
What is the over/under for Sam Houston Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears?
The total is 50.5. Our model makes it 51.5.
What does the model predict for Sam Houston Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears?
It leans Sam Houston Bearkats +4.5 (56%) and Over 50.5 (53%) and Sam Houston Bearkats moneyline +180 (45%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

See the plans

Get the Spreadhound Weekly, free every Wednesday

One email every Wednesday. No spam, unsubscribe in one click.

Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.