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NCAAFWeek 9Final

SMU Mustangs vs Syracuse Orange prediction and odds

Saturday, October 31 at 12:00 PM ET · JMA Wireless Dome, Syracuse, NY · ESPN2

Also searched as Syracuse Orange vs SMU Mustangs prediction, SMU vs SYR, SYR vs SMU and SMU Mustangs versus Syracuse Orange.

Final: SMU Mustangs 27, Syracuse Orange 30

Result: Syracuse Orange by 3, 57 points in total. The model had Syracuse Orange +8.5 and a total of 57.5.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadSyracuse Orange +10Syracuse Orange +8.5
Total58.557.5
MoneylineSYR +285 / SMU -360SYR 30% to win

Model lean: Syracuse Orange +10 (54%), Under 58.5 (52%), Syracuse Orange moneyline +285 (30%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

No. 19 SMU Mustangs (6-2) visited Syracuse Orange (4-4) at JMA Wireless Dome, Syracuse, NY, Saturday, October 31 at 12:00 PM ET, on ESPN2. The market has SMU Mustangs by 10, with a total of 58.5. Our model makes it Syracuse Orange +8.5 with a total of 57.5 and gives Syracuse Orange a 30% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

SMU Mustangs vs Syracuse Orange: questions

Who is favored in SMU Mustangs vs Syracuse Orange?
The market has SMU Mustangs by 10. On the moneyline, Syracuse Orange +285 and SMU Mustangs -360.
What is the over/under for SMU Mustangs vs Syracuse Orange?
The total is 58.5. Our model makes it 57.5.
What does the model predict for SMU Mustangs vs Syracuse Orange?
It leans Syracuse Orange +10 (54%) and Under 58.5 (52%) and Syracuse Orange moneyline +285 (30%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.