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NCAAFWeek 8Final

South Alabama Jaguars vs Marshall Thundering Herd prediction and odds

Tuesday, October 20 at 7:30 PM ET · Joan C. Edwards Stadium, Huntington, WV · ESPN2

Also searched as Marshall Thundering Herd vs South Alabama Jaguars prediction, USA vs MRSH, MRSH vs USA and South Alabama Jaguars versus Marshall Thundering Herd.

Final: South Alabama Jaguars 13, Marshall Thundering Herd 20

Result: Marshall Thundering Herd by 7, 33 points in total. The model had Marshall Thundering Herd +3.5 and a total of 67.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadMarshall Thundering Herd +3Marshall Thundering Herd +3.5
Total65.567
MoneylineMRSH +136 / USA -162MRSH 42% to win

Model lean: Over 65.5 (55%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

South Alabama Jaguars (4-3) visited Marshall Thundering Herd (4-3) at Joan C. Edwards Stadium, Huntington, WV, Tuesday, October 20 at 7:30 PM ET, on ESPN2. The market has South Alabama Jaguars by 3, with a total of 65.5. Our model makes it Marshall Thundering Herd +3.5 with a total of 67 and gives Marshall Thundering Herd a 42% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

South Alabama Jaguars vs Marshall Thundering Herd: questions

Who is favored in South Alabama Jaguars vs Marshall Thundering Herd?
The market has South Alabama Jaguars by 3. On the moneyline, Marshall Thundering Herd +136 and South Alabama Jaguars -162.
What is the over/under for South Alabama Jaguars vs Marshall Thundering Herd?
The total is 65.5. Our model makes it 67.
What does the model predict for South Alabama Jaguars vs Marshall Thundering Herd?
It leans Over 65.5 (55%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.