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NCAAFWeek 9Final

Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs UL Monroe Warhawks prediction and odds

Saturday, October 31 at 3:30 PM ET · Malone Stadium, Monroe, LA · ESPN+

Also searched as UL Monroe Warhawks vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles prediction, USM vs ULM, ULM vs USM and Southern Miss Golden Eagles versus UL Monroe Warhawks.

Final: Southern Miss Golden Eagles 35, UL Monroe Warhawks 21

Result: Southern Miss Golden Eagles by 14, 56 points in total. The model had UL Monroe Warhawks +1.5 and a total of 56.5.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadUL Monroe Warhawks +3.5UL Monroe Warhawks +1.5
Total55.556.5
MoneylineULM +142 / USM -170ULM 46% to win

Model lean: UL Monroe Warhawks +3.5 (55%), Over 55.5 (53%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Southern Miss Golden Eagles (3-5) visited UL Monroe Warhawks (1-7) at Malone Stadium, Monroe, LA, Saturday, October 31 at 3:30 PM ET, on ESPN+. The market has Southern Miss Golden Eagles by 3.5, with a total of 55.5. Our model makes it UL Monroe Warhawks +1.5 with a total of 56.5 and gives UL Monroe Warhawks a 46% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs UL Monroe Warhawks: questions

Who is favored in Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs UL Monroe Warhawks?
The market has Southern Miss Golden Eagles by 3.5. On the moneyline, UL Monroe Warhawks +142 and Southern Miss Golden Eagles -170.
What is the over/under for Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs UL Monroe Warhawks?
The total is 55.5. Our model makes it 56.5.
What does the model predict for Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs UL Monroe Warhawks?
It leans UL Monroe Warhawks +3.5 (55%) and Over 55.5 (53%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.