TCU Horned Frogs vs Arizona Wildcats prediction and odds
Friday, November 6 at 10:15 PM ET · Casino Del Sol Stadium, Tucson, AZ · ESPN
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Final: TCU Horned Frogs 28, Arizona Wildcats 29
Result: Arizona Wildcats by 1, 57 points in total. The model had Arizona Wildcats -9 and a total of 40.
Our play on this game
Under 43.5 -108lost -1.25u
Staked at 1.3% of bankroll.
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Arizona Wildcats -8.5 | Arizona Wildcats -9 |
| Total | 42.5 | 40 |
| Moneyline | ARIZ -340 / TCU +270 | ARIZ 71% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened Arizona Wildcats -9.5, the total opened at 44.5.
Model lean: Under 42.5 (58%), TCU Horned Frogs moneyline +270 (29%)
This game also had a play, shown above.
Preview
TCU Horned Frogs (4-4) visited No. 24 Arizona Wildcats (6-2) at Casino Del Sol Stadium, Tucson, AZ, Friday, November 6 at 10:15 PM ET, on ESPN. The market has Arizona Wildcats by 8.5, with a total of 42.5. The line opened Arizona Wildcats -9.5. Our model makes it Arizona Wildcats -9 with a total of 40 and gives Arizona Wildcats a 71% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
TCU Horned Frogs vs Arizona Wildcats: questions
- Who is favored in TCU Horned Frogs vs Arizona Wildcats?
- The market has Arizona Wildcats by 8.5. On the moneyline, Arizona Wildcats -340 and TCU Horned Frogs +270.
- What is the over/under for TCU Horned Frogs vs Arizona Wildcats?
- The total is 42.5, after opening at 44.5. Our model makes it 40.
- What was Spreadhound's pick for TCU Horned Frogs vs Arizona Wildcats?
- Under 43.5 -108, staked at 1.3% of bankroll. It lost, -1.25 units.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.