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NCAAFWeek 10

Texas Longhorns vs Missouri Tigers prediction and odds

Saturday, November 7 at 12:00 PM ET · Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO · ESPN

Also searched as Missouri Tigers vs Texas Longhorns prediction, TEX vs MIZ, MIZ vs TEX and Texas Longhorns versus Missouri Tigers.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadMissouri Tigers +2.5Missouri Tigers +3.5
Total43.542.5
MoneylineMIZ +124 / TEX -148MIZ 42% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Missouri Tigers +3.5, the total opened at 49.5.

Model lean: Texas Longhorns -2.5 (52%), Under 43.5 (52%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

No. 10 Texas Longhorns (6-2) visit No. 19 Missouri Tigers (6-2) at Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO, Saturday, November 7 at 12:00 PM ET, on ESPN. The market has Texas Longhorns by 2.5, with a total of 43.5. The line opened Missouri Tigers +3.5. Our model makes it Missouri Tigers +3.5 with a total of 42.5 and gives Missouri Tigers a 42% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Texas Longhorns vs Missouri Tigers: questions

Who is favored in Texas Longhorns vs Missouri Tigers?
The market has Texas Longhorns by 2.5. On the moneyline, Missouri Tigers +124 and Texas Longhorns -148.
What is the over/under for Texas Longhorns vs Missouri Tigers?
The total is 43.5, after opening at 49.5. Our model makes it 42.5.
What does the model predict for Texas Longhorns vs Missouri Tigers?
It leans Texas Longhorns -2.5 (52%) and Under 43.5 (52%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.