Texas State Bobcats vs Oregon State Beavers prediction and odds
Saturday, November 7 at 10:30 PM ET · Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR · CW
Also searched as Oregon State Beavers vs Texas State Bobcats prediction, TXST vs ORST, ORST vs TXST and Texas State Bobcats versus Oregon State Beavers.
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Oregon State Beavers -6.5 | Oregon State Beavers -5 |
| Total | 72.5 | 71 |
| Moneyline | ORST -250 / TXST +205 | ORST 62% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened Oregon State Beavers -8.5, the total opened at 66.5.
Model lean: Texas State Bobcats +6.5 (54%), Under 72.5 (54%), Texas State Bobcats moneyline +205 (38%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
Texas State Bobcats (4-4) visit Oregon State Beavers (5-3) at Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR, Saturday, November 7 at 10:30 PM ET, on CW. The market has Oregon State Beavers by 6.5, with a total of 72.5. The line opened Oregon State Beavers -8.5. Our model makes it Oregon State Beavers -5 with a total of 71 and gives Oregon State Beavers a 62% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Texas State Bobcats vs Oregon State Beavers: questions
- Who is favored in Texas State Bobcats vs Oregon State Beavers?
- The market has Oregon State Beavers by 6.5. On the moneyline, Oregon State Beavers -250 and Texas State Bobcats +205.
- What is the over/under for Texas State Bobcats vs Oregon State Beavers?
- The total is 72.5, after opening at 66.5. Our model makes it 71.
- What does the model predict for Texas State Bobcats vs Oregon State Beavers?
- It leans Texas State Bobcats +6.5 (54%) and Under 72.5 (54%) and Texas State Bobcats moneyline +205 (38%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.