Who is favored in UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves?

The market has Arkansas State Red Wolves by 14.5. On the moneyline, Arkansas State Red Wolves -700 and UL Monroe Warhawks +500.

What is the over/under for UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves?

The total is 53.5, after opening at 51.5. Our model makes it 53.5.

What does the model predict for UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves?

It leans Arkansas State Red Wolves -14.5 (52%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

NCAAFWeek 10

UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves prediction and odds

Saturday, November 7 at 3:00 PM ET · Centennial Bank Stadium, Jonesboro, AR · ESPN+

Also searched as Arkansas State Red Wolves vs UL Monroe Warhawks prediction, ULM vs ARST, ARST vs ULM and UL Monroe Warhawks versus Arkansas State Red Wolves.

Market vs model

Line	Market	Model
Spread	Arkansas State Red Wolves -14.5	Arkansas State Red Wolves -15.5
Total	53.5	53.5
Moneyline	ARST -700 / ULM +500	ARST 83% to win

Line movement: the total opened at 51.5.

Model lean: Arkansas State Red Wolves -14.5 (52%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

UL Monroe Warhawks (1-7) visit Arkansas State Red Wolves (4-4) at Centennial Bank Stadium, Jonesboro, AR, Saturday, November 7 at 3:00 PM ET, on ESPN+. The market has Arkansas State Red Wolves by 14.5, with a total of 53.5. Our model makes it Arkansas State Red Wolves -15.5 with a total of 53.5 and gives Arkansas State Red Wolves a 83% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves: questions

Who is favored in UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves?: The market has Arkansas State Red Wolves by 14.5. On the moneyline, Arkansas State Red Wolves -700 and UL Monroe Warhawks +500.
What is the over/under for UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves?: The total is 53.5, after opening at 51.5. Our model makes it 53.5.
What does the model predict for UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves?: It leans Arkansas State Red Wolves -14.5 (52%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.