Skip to content
NCAAFWeek 8Final

UL Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans prediction and odds

Saturday, October 24 at 4:00 PM ET · Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL), Troy, AL · ESPN+

Also searched as Troy Trojans vs UL Monroe Warhawks prediction, ULM vs TROY, TROY vs ULM and UL Monroe Warhawks versus Troy Trojans.

Final: UL Monroe Warhawks 21, Troy Trojans 14

Result: UL Monroe Warhawks by 7, 35 points in total. The model had Troy Trojans -17.5 and a total of 53.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadTroy Trojans -15.5Troy Trojans -17.5
Total51.553
MoneylineTROY -700 / ULM +500TROY 86% to win

Model lean: Troy Trojans -15.5 (55%), Over 51.5 (55%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

UL Monroe Warhawks (1-6) visited Troy Trojans (3-4) at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL), Troy, AL, Saturday, October 24 at 4:00 PM ET, on ESPN+. The market has Troy Trojans by 15.5, with a total of 51.5. Our model makes it Troy Trojans -17.5 with a total of 53 and gives Troy Trojans a 86% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

UL Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans: questions

Who is favored in UL Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans?
The market has Troy Trojans by 15.5. On the moneyline, Troy Trojans -700 and UL Monroe Warhawks +500.
What is the over/under for UL Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans?
The total is 51.5. Our model makes it 53.
What does the model predict for UL Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans?
It leans Troy Trojans -15.5 (55%) and Over 51.5 (55%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

See the plans

Get the Spreadhound Weekly, free every Wednesday

One email every Wednesday. No spam, unsubscribe in one click.

Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.