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NCAAFWeek 8Final

Utah State Aggies vs Texas State Bobcats prediction and odds

Saturday, October 24 at 7:30 PM ET · UFCU Stadium, San Marcos, TX · CBSSN

Also searched as Texas State Bobcats vs Utah State Aggies prediction, USU vs TXST, TXST vs USU and Utah State Aggies versus Texas State Bobcats.

Final: Utah State Aggies 17, Texas State Bobcats 20

Result: Texas State Bobcats by 3, 37 points in total. The model had Texas State Bobcats -10 and a total of 56.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadTexas State Bobcats -12.5Texas State Bobcats -10
MoneylineTXST -485 / USU +370TXST 74% to win

Model lean: Utah State Aggies +12.5 (56%), Utah State Aggies moneyline +370 (26%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Utah State Aggies (2-5) visited Texas State Bobcats (4-3) at UFCU Stadium, San Marcos, TX, Saturday, October 24 at 7:30 PM ET, on CBSSN. The market has Texas State Bobcats by 12.5, with a total of 60.5. Our model makes it Texas State Bobcats -10 and gives Texas State Bobcats a 74% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Utah State Aggies vs Texas State Bobcats: questions

Who is favored in Utah State Aggies vs Texas State Bobcats?
The market has Texas State Bobcats by 12.5. On the moneyline, Texas State Bobcats -485 and Utah State Aggies +370.
What is the over/under for Utah State Aggies vs Texas State Bobcats?
The total is 60.5.
What does the model predict for Utah State Aggies vs Texas State Bobcats?
It leans Utah State Aggies +12.5 (56%) and Utah State Aggies moneyline +370 (26%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.