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NCAAFWeek 8Final

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Kentucky Wildcats prediction and odds

Saturday, October 24 at 7:30 PM ET · Kroger Field, Lexington, KY · SEC Network

Also searched as Kentucky Wildcats vs Vanderbilt Commodores prediction, VAN vs UK, UK vs VAN and Vanderbilt Commodores versus Kentucky Wildcats.

Final: Vanderbilt Commodores 17, Kentucky Wildcats 34

Result: Kentucky Wildcats by 17, 51 points in total. The model had Kentucky Wildcats -11.5 and a total of 53.5.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadKentucky Wildcats -10.5Kentucky Wildcats -11.5
Total51.553.5
MoneylineUK -470 / VAN +360UK 76% to win

Model lean: Kentucky Wildcats -10.5 (53%), Over 51.5 (55%), Vanderbilt Commodores moneyline +360 (24%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Vanderbilt Commodores (3-5) visited No. 12 Kentucky Wildcats (7-1) at Kroger Field, Lexington, KY, Saturday, October 24 at 7:30 PM ET, on SEC Network. The market has Kentucky Wildcats by 10.5, with a total of 51.5. Our model makes it Kentucky Wildcats -11.5 with a total of 53.5 and gives Kentucky Wildcats a 76% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Kentucky Wildcats: questions

Who is favored in Vanderbilt Commodores vs Kentucky Wildcats?
The market has Kentucky Wildcats by 10.5. On the moneyline, Kentucky Wildcats -470 and Vanderbilt Commodores +360.
What is the over/under for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Kentucky Wildcats?
The total is 51.5. Our model makes it 53.5.
What does the model predict for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Kentucky Wildcats?
It leans Kentucky Wildcats -10.5 (53%) and Over 51.5 (55%) and Vanderbilt Commodores moneyline +360 (24%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.