Who is favored in Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?

The market has Mississippi State Bulldogs by 3. On the moneyline, Mississippi State Bulldogs -155 and Vanderbilt Commodores +130.

What is the over/under for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?

The total is 48.5. Our model makes it 50.5.

What does the model predict for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?

It leans Mississippi State Bulldogs -3 (58%) and Over 48.5 (56%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

NCAAFWeek 10

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs prediction and odds

Saturday, November 7 at 4:15 PM ET · Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS · SEC Network

Also searched as Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Vanderbilt Commodores prediction, VAN vs MSST, MSST vs VAN and Vanderbilt Commodores versus Mississippi State Bulldogs.

Market vs model

Line	Market	Model
Spread	Mississippi State Bulldogs -3	Mississippi State Bulldogs -6
Total	48.5	50.5
Moneyline	MSST -155 / VAN +130	MSST 65% to win

Model lean: Mississippi State Bulldogs -3 (58%), Over 48.5 (56%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Vanderbilt Commodores (3-5) visit Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-4) at Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS, Saturday, November 7 at 4:15 PM ET, on SEC Network. The market has Mississippi State Bulldogs by 3, with a total of 48.5. Our model makes it Mississippi State Bulldogs -6 with a total of 50.5 and gives Mississippi State Bulldogs a 65% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs: questions

Who is favored in Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?: The market has Mississippi State Bulldogs by 3. On the moneyline, Mississippi State Bulldogs -155 and Vanderbilt Commodores +130.
What is the over/under for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?: The total is 48.5. Our model makes it 50.5.
What does the model predict for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?: It leans Mississippi State Bulldogs -3 (58%) and Over 48.5 (56%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

See the plans

Get the Spreadhound Weekly, free every Wednesday

Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.