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NCAAFWeek 10Final

Virginia Tech Hokies vs SMU Mustangs prediction and odds

Friday, November 6 at 7:00 PM ET · Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, TX · ESPN

Also searched as SMU Mustangs vs Virginia Tech Hokies prediction, VT vs SMU, SMU vs VT and Virginia Tech Hokies versus SMU Mustangs.

Final: Virginia Tech Hokies 28, SMU Mustangs 51

Result: SMU Mustangs by 23, 79 points in total. The model had SMU Mustangs -4 and a total of 55.5.

Our play on this game

VT +6 -107lost -1.25u

Staked at 1.3% of bankroll.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadSMU Mustangs -6SMU Mustangs -4
Total55.555.5
MoneylineSMU -225 / VT +185SMU 60% to win

Line movement: the spread opened SMU Mustangs -7.5, the total opened at 57.5.

Model lean: Virginia Tech Hokies +6 (54%), Virginia Tech Hokies moneyline +185 (40%)

This game also had a play, shown above.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Virginia Tech Hokies (6-2) visited SMU Mustangs (6-2) at Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, TX, Friday, November 6 at 7:00 PM ET, on ESPN. The market has SMU Mustangs by 6, with a total of 55.5. The line opened SMU Mustangs -7.5. Our model makes it SMU Mustangs -4 with a total of 55.5 and gives SMU Mustangs a 60% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Virginia Tech Hokies vs SMU Mustangs: questions

Who is favored in Virginia Tech Hokies vs SMU Mustangs?
The market has SMU Mustangs by 6. On the moneyline, SMU Mustangs -225 and Virginia Tech Hokies +185.
What is the over/under for Virginia Tech Hokies vs SMU Mustangs?
The total is 55.5, after opening at 57.5. Our model makes it 55.5.
What was Spreadhound's pick for Virginia Tech Hokies vs SMU Mustangs?
VT +6 -107, staked at 1.3% of bankroll. It lost, -1.25 units.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.