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NCAAFWeek 8Final

West Virginia Mountaineers vs TCU Horned Frogs prediction and odds

Saturday, October 24 at 12:00 PM ET · Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX · ESPN2

Also searched as TCU Horned Frogs vs West Virginia Mountaineers prediction, WVU vs TCU, TCU vs WVU and West Virginia Mountaineers versus TCU Horned Frogs.

Final: West Virginia Mountaineers 24, TCU Horned Frogs 20

Result: West Virginia Mountaineers by 4, 44 points in total. The model had TCU Horned Frogs -10.5 and a total of 55.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadTCU Horned Frogs -8.5TCU Horned Frogs -10.5
Total56.555
MoneylineTCU -310 / WVU +250TCU 74% to win

Model lean: TCU Horned Frogs -8.5 (54%), Under 56.5 (54%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

West Virginia Mountaineers (5-3) visited TCU Horned Frogs (3-4) at Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX, Saturday, October 24 at 12:00 PM ET, on ESPN2. The market has TCU Horned Frogs by 8.5, with a total of 56.5. Our model makes it TCU Horned Frogs -10.5 with a total of 55 and gives TCU Horned Frogs a 74% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

West Virginia Mountaineers vs TCU Horned Frogs: questions

Who is favored in West Virginia Mountaineers vs TCU Horned Frogs?
The market has TCU Horned Frogs by 8.5. On the moneyline, TCU Horned Frogs -310 and West Virginia Mountaineers +250.
What is the over/under for West Virginia Mountaineers vs TCU Horned Frogs?
The total is 56.5. Our model makes it 55.
What does the model predict for West Virginia Mountaineers vs TCU Horned Frogs?
It leans TCU Horned Frogs -8.5 (54%) and Under 56.5 (54%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.