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NCAAFWeek 10

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders prediction and odds

Saturday, November 7 at 3:30 PM ET · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, TN · ESPN+

Also searched as Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers prediction, WKU vs MTSU, MTSU vs WKU and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers versus Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders.

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders -1.5Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -1
Total53.553.5
MoneylineMTSU -112 / WKU -108MTSU 52% to win

Line movement: the total opened at 52.5.

Model lean: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +1.5 (51%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (3-5) visit Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (4-4) at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, TN, Saturday, November 7 at 3:30 PM ET, on ESPN+. The market has Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders by 1.5, with a total of 53.5. Our model makes it Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -1 with a total of 53.5 and gives Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders a 52% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: questions

Who is favored in Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders?
The market has Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders by 1.5. On the moneyline, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -112 and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -108.
What is the over/under for Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders?
The total is 53.5, after opening at 52.5. Our model makes it 53.5.
What does the model predict for Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders?
It leans Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +1.5 (51%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.