NFL week 6 picks and predictions
Our model priced 14 NFL games for week 6 (October 15 to October 19) and set its own line on each one next to the market. Most of the time the two agree, and a lean is only a lean. The games where the model disagrees enough to stake money on are plays: 5 this week, for members, and every one is graded in public.
Biggest model leans this week
- Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: lean Under 39.5
Market total 39.5, model total 36. About 64% for this side by the model: a lean, not a play.
- New York Jets at New England Patriots: lean Under 43.5
Market total 43.5, model total 40. About 63% for this side by the model: a lean, not a play.
- Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons: lean Under 51.5
Market total 51.5, model total 49.5. About 58% for this side by the model: a lean, not a play.
- Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns: lean Baltimore Ravens -5.5
Market Cleveland Browns +5.5, model Cleveland Browns +7. About 55% for this side by the model: a lean, not a play.
- Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams: lean Arizona Cardinals +12.5
Market Los Angeles Rams -12.5, model Los Angeles Rams -11. About 54% for this side by the model: a lean, not a play.
Every week 6 game
Thursday, October 15
- Seattle Seahawks vs Denver BroncosMembers play
NFL · 8:15 PM ET
Sunday, October 18
- Houston Texans vs Jacksonville JaguarsMembers play
NFL · 9:30 AM ET
- Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland BrownsLean Baltimore Ravens -5.5
NFL · 1:00 PM ET
- New York Jets vs New England PatriotsLean Under 43.5
NFL · 1:00 PM ET
- Chicago Bears vs Atlanta FalconsLean Under 51.5
NFL · 1:00 PM ET
- Carolina Panthers vs Philadelphia EaglesLean Philadelphia Eagles +1.5
NFL · 1:00 PM ET
- New Orleans Saints vs New York GiantsLean New York Giants +1.5
NFL · 1:00 PM ET
- Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis ColtsLean Indianapolis Colts -7
NFL · 1:00 PM ET
- Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersLean Under 39.5
NFL · 1:00 PM ET
- Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles RamsLean Arizona Cardinals +12.5
NFL · 4:05 PM ET
- Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City ChiefsMembers play
NFL · 4:25 PM ET
- Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas RaidersMembers play
NFL · 4:25 PM ET
- Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay PackersLean Green Bay Packers -1.5
NFL · 8:20 PM ET
Monday, October 19
- Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ersMembers play
NFL · 8:15 PM ET
Get the week 6 plays
The plays go to members by email the moment they publish, with the stake and the reasoning. Fall Flash Sale: 30% off, kept for as long as you stay subscribed. Limited spots.
The model's leans every Wednesday, free
Last week's results, the season trends and the leans.