Florida State Seminoles vs Louisville Cardinals prediction and odds
Friday, October 9 at 7:00 PM ET · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, Louisville, KY · ESPN
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Louisville Cardinals -3.5 | Louisville Cardinals -2 |
| Total | 58.5 | 58 |
| Moneyline | LOU -185 / FSU +154 | LOU 55% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened Louisville Cardinals -7.5.
Model lean: Florida State Seminoles +3.5 (54%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
Florida State Seminoles (3-2) visit Louisville Cardinals (2-3) at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, Louisville, KY, Friday, October 9 at 7:00 PM ET, on ESPN. The market has Louisville Cardinals by 3.5, with a total of 58.5. The line opened Louisville Cardinals -7.5. Our model makes it Louisville Cardinals -2 with a total of 58 and gives Louisville Cardinals a 55% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Florida State Seminoles vs Louisville Cardinals: questions
- Who is favored in Florida State Seminoles vs Louisville Cardinals?
- The market has Louisville Cardinals by 3.5. On the moneyline, Louisville Cardinals -185 and Florida State Seminoles +154.
- What is the over/under for Florida State Seminoles vs Louisville Cardinals?
- The total is 58.5. Our model makes it 58.
- What does the model predict for Florida State Seminoles vs Louisville Cardinals?
- It leans Florida State Seminoles +3.5 (54%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.