Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Troy Trojans prediction and odds
Tuesday, October 6 at 8:00 PM ET · Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL), Troy, AL · ESPN2
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Total | 50.5 | 49.5 |
Line movement: the spread opened Troy Trojans -8.5, the total opened at 48.5.
Model lean: Under 50.5 (52%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
Southern Miss Golden Eagles (1-3) visit Troy Trojans (2-2) at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL), Troy, AL, Tuesday, October 6 at 8:00 PM ET, on ESPN2. The market has Troy Trojans by 10.5, with a total of 50.5. The line opened Troy Trojans -8.5. Our model has a total of 49.5.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Troy Trojans: questions
- Who is favored in Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Troy Trojans?
- The market has Troy Trojans by 10.5. On the moneyline, Troy Trojans -410 and Southern Miss Golden Eagles +320.
- What is the over/under for Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Troy Trojans?
- The total is 50.5, after opening at 48.5. Our model makes it 49.5.
- What does the model predict for Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Troy Trojans?
- It leans Under 50.5 (52%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.