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NCAAFWeek 6

Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Kennesaw State Owls prediction and odds

Wednesday, October 7 at 7:00 PM ET · Walens Family Field at Fifth Third Stadium, Kennesaw, GA · CBSSN

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadKennesaw State Owls +3Kennesaw State Owls +2
Total50.548
MoneylineKENN +124 / JXST -148KENN 45% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Kennesaw State Owls +2.5, the total opened at 48.5.

Model lean: Kennesaw State Owls +3 (53%), Under 50.5 (57%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Jacksonville State Gamecocks (3-2) visit Kennesaw State Owls (1-3) at Walens Family Field at Fifth Third Stadium, Kennesaw, GA, Wednesday, October 7 at 7:00 PM ET, on CBSSN. The market has Jacksonville State Gamecocks by 3, with a total of 50.5. The line opened Kennesaw State Owls +2.5. Our model makes it Kennesaw State Owls +2 with a total of 48 and gives Kennesaw State Owls a 45% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Kennesaw State Owls: questions

Who is favored in Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Kennesaw State Owls?
The market has Jacksonville State Gamecocks by 3. On the moneyline, Kennesaw State Owls +124 and Jacksonville State Gamecocks -148.
What is the over/under for Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Kennesaw State Owls?
The total is 50.5, after opening at 48.5. Our model makes it 48.
What does the model predict for Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Kennesaw State Owls?
It leans Kennesaw State Owls +3 (53%) and Under 50.5 (57%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.