Who is favored in Missouri State Bears vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers?

The market has Western Kentucky Hilltoppers by 2.5. On the moneyline, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -135 and Missouri State Bears +114.

What is the over/under for Missouri State Bears vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers?

The total is 56.5. Our model makes it 57.

What does the model predict for Missouri State Bears vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers?

It leans Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -2.5 (53%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

NCAAFWeek 6

Missouri State Bears vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers prediction and odds

Thursday, October 8 at 7:00 PM ET · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium, Bowling Green, KY · CBSSN

Market vs model

Line	Market	Model
Spread	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -2.5	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -4
Total	56.5	57
Moneyline	WKU -135 / MOST +114	WKU 59% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +1.5.

Model lean: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -2.5 (53%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Missouri State Bears (1-3) visit Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (1-4) at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium, Bowling Green, KY, Thursday, October 8 at 7:00 PM ET, on CBSSN. The market has Western Kentucky Hilltoppers by 2.5, with a total of 56.5. The line opened Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +1.5. Our model makes it Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -4 with a total of 57 and gives Western Kentucky Hilltoppers a 59% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Missouri State Bears vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: questions

Who is favored in Missouri State Bears vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers?: The market has Western Kentucky Hilltoppers by 2.5. On the moneyline, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -135 and Missouri State Bears +114.
What is the over/under for Missouri State Bears vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers?: The total is 56.5. Our model makes it 57.
What does the model predict for Missouri State Bears vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers?: It leans Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -2.5 (53%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

See the plans

Get the Spreadhound Weekly, free every Wednesday

Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.