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NCAAFWeek 6

New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida International Panthers prediction and odds

Wednesday, October 7 at 7:30 PM ET · Pitbull Stadium, Miami, FL · ESPN2

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadFlorida International Panthers -6Florida International Panthers -3.5
Total46.544
MoneylineFIU -230 / NMSU +190FIU 59% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Florida International Panthers -3.5, the total opened at 47.5.

Model lean: New Mexico State Aggies +6 (56%), Under 46.5 (57%), New Mexico State Aggies moneyline +190 (41%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

New Mexico State Aggies (2-3) visit Florida International Panthers (2-2) at Pitbull Stadium, Miami, FL, Wednesday, October 7 at 7:30 PM ET, on ESPN2. The market has Florida International Panthers by 6, with a total of 46.5. The line opened Florida International Panthers -3.5. Our model makes it Florida International Panthers -3.5 with a total of 44 and gives Florida International Panthers a 59% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida International Panthers: questions

Who is favored in New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida International Panthers?
The market has Florida International Panthers by 6. On the moneyline, Florida International Panthers -230 and New Mexico State Aggies +190.
What is the over/under for New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida International Panthers?
The total is 46.5, after opening at 47.5. Our model makes it 44.
What does the model predict for New Mexico State Aggies vs Florida International Panthers?
It leans New Mexico State Aggies +6 (56%) and Under 46.5 (57%) and New Mexico State Aggies moneyline +190 (41%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.